How to take Advantage of
the Greatest Buying Opportunity in Mobile Home Parks in Decades
Warren Buffet once said of
Berkshire Hathaway “we only get greedy when others get fearful”.
That statement has never been more accurate in describing the
opportunities in the mobile home park business. We are approaching a
time in the industry when the owners of parks for sale are fearful,
and their fear is amplified by a struggling, nearly dead mobile home
retail industry and a sudden reversal of fortune in lending. It
appears to be the perfect storm for many owners. And that cyclical
train wreck is going to lead to some really great buys – if park
buyers are properly prepared to take advantage of this
once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity.
The Causes
The mobile home industry had its “subprime meltdown” all the way
back in 2000. Just like today, lenders had been way too aggressive
in their lending standards – if they used any at all. Repossessions
went through the roof, and with every mobile home dragged to auction
came a new low in collateral value.
$35,000 homes were being sold
for $5,000 at auction.
In turn, this re-valuation of
collateral led to continually more homeowners walking off and
leaving their hugely overvalued mobile home. As the lenders put an
end to making loans on mobile homes, dealers found they could not
find any credit-worthy buyers to buy their inventory. If you had
bought one share of each of the publicly-traded manufacturers in
1999, you would seen the value of this portfolio fall by 90% in
2008. With dealers not selling any homes, the ability to fill mobile
home lots has become difficult. In addition, many park owners are
faced with the daily risk of losing more customer homes to
foreclosure.
The other fundamental of the
park business that has hit a brick wall is lending. A few years ago,
many banks were aggressively approving loans for parks to be
purchased. Unfortunately, several of these are no longer an active
player as they once were. Indeed, many of the hard-core lenders from
the last few years have virtually shut their doors to new loans.
Much of this was the result of
the extreme losses in lending that are occurring right now, although
interestingly, most of the mobile home park loans are doing fine.
Repossessions of mobile home parks are not very common. But the
lending industry has limited mobile home parks along with all forms
of real estate borrowing. As a result, if someone wants to buy a
park, they must have great credit and plenty of cash for a down
payment or the loan will never materialize. In addition, many park
lenders are being harder on occupancy, criteria, and location.
The Opportunities
With no dealers selling homes, and little lending for park
purchases, many park sellers are becoming truly desperate. Day after
day passes without any offers and, when they get one, the deal falls
through predictably during the financing contingency. Many sellers
do not know how to get their parks sold. And the panic feeds on
itself and on other similar parks. A lot of value is based on
perception – and many sellers perceive their parks to be nearly
valueless. Most notable are the parks that have less occupancy than
is required for a bank loan (say 60%), yet show reasonable positive
cash flow. Despite a lot of good, solid raw material, the seller may
perceive that the park will never find a buyer despite the low
asking price. And so the price just keeps dropping.
The key buying opportunities in parks today are:
-
Parks that have just enough vacancy to be unable to get financing, yet can
reach this occupancy level (normally about 80%) with the addition of only a
few homes.
-
Parks that have sufficient occupancy, but have lousy financials due to
mismanagement, and costs that can be reduced.
-
Parks that can attain an enormous rent boost upon closing without any
changes in occupancy to attain attractive numbers.
-
Parks that come with additional real estate assets which can be subdivided
and sold off, to reduce the basis in the park.
These
opportunities allow a buyer to increase the park income almost immediately, and
with little risk. And they circumvent the weakness in the market (dealer
sales/occupancy/financing issues) and allow the buyer to obtain a winning deal
from the start.
Buyer Preparation
To be able to take advantage
of these opportunities, the buyer has to sharpen the weapons in his
arsenal. The first of these weapons is his knowledge of the
industry. The mobile home park business is extremely complicated.
There are over 30 different items that much be checked and confirmed
during due diligence, and some of these can cause you to lose your
entire investment. In addition, having the knowledge to build a
sample budget in line with industry standard cost ratios is
essential to success. And once a good deal has been bought, the
buyer must know the strategies to successfully manage the property
and maximize its profitability. To prepare these skills, there are
complete courses on mobile home park diligence and management
available, which are essential for the novice and even experienced
investor who is crossing over from another asset type.
The buyer must also have the
capital necessary to make the down payment on a deal, and afford the
additional capital expenditures necessary to put the park in good
working order. The time to line up this capital is before you begin
your search for parks, not after you have found one. Normally, parks
are sold with a 30 day due diligence and a 30 day financing period –
so there is really no time to raise capital after the property has
been tied up. Capital can be obtained from your own liquidity, or
family members or financial partners. Knowing the maximum amount of
capital available to you will help shape the size of deals you will
pursue.
Having a lender who knows and
trusts you is another essential ingredient. Often, particularly on
deals which have a blemish which you will resolve upon purchase,
having the trust of your banker is essential to getting the loan.
Another way to achieve a head start in banking is to consult with a
loan broker who has access to all of the current lenders on mobile
home parks. It is always a good idea to have current financial
statements on hand, and a resume on real estate experience.
Conclusion
Not since the Savings & Loan crisis of the 1980’s have so many great
deals on mobile home parks been available. Since these cycles only
come every couple of decades, this is one opportunity that may not
come again in your lifetime. So it is important to “carpe diem” –
“seize the day”.
If you take the necessary steps to succeed, you may find yourself
owning a profitable mobile home park in the near future.
By Frank Rolfe and Dave Reynolds